Tuesday, May 19, 2009

NBA Lottery

The NBA Draft Lottery is tonight at 8:30 pm and the future of many teams can change with a bounce of a lottery ball. The main prize in this draft is the 6'10' Oklahoma power forward Blake Griffin, and his amazing Lebron like power dunks. His production and size combined with his quickness and soft touch are deadly. Here are the teams in the lottery and their probability of winning the 1st pick.

1) Sacramento Kings 25%
2) Washington Wizards 17.8%
3) Los Angeles Clippers 17.7%
4) Oklahoma City Thunder 11.9%
5) Minnesota Timberwolves 7.6%
6) Memphis Grizzlies 7.5%
7) Golden State Warriors 4.3%
8) New York Knicks 2.8%
9) Toronto Raptors 1.7%
10) Milwaukee Bucks 1.0%
11) New Jersey Nets 0.9%
12) Charlotte Bobcats 0.7%
13) Indiana Pacers 0.6%
14) Phoenix Suns o.5%

Here is a breakdown of the 14 teams, and their team needs for the upcomming season.

Sacramento Kings
The Kings do not have a lot of talent on their roster, however, their big-man pairing of Jason Thompson (PF) and Spencer Hawes (C) is promising. The Kings also have a stud SG in Kevin Martin who averaged nearly 25 ppg, when he stays healthy. Outiside of these three, Donte Green the 6'11' SF out of Syracuse might have a future with the team if he is able to progress his talents that he showed while at Syracuse. The team is in dire need of a PG and SF, however, Blake Griffin (PF) has to be the #1 pick.

Washington Wizards
The Wizards are an intriuging team when all of their key components are healthy. The big three of Gilbert Arenas (PG/SG), Caron Butler (SF), and Antawn Jamison (PF), are one of the top Big Three's in the Eastern conference when they are all healthy. The team also has some young players that could develop into key players, Andray Blatche (FC), Javaris Crittenton (PG), JaVale McGee (C), and Nick Young (SG). The Wizards could use a PG like Ricky Rubio to team with Arenas in the backcourt. Blake Griffin and Hasheem Thabeet would also fit in nicely.

Los Angeles Clippers
The Clippers are in the their usual spot, the lottery. The team does have some individual talent in the aging Marcus Camby (C), the unintersted one Baron Davis (PG), the future Eric Gordon (SG), Chris Kaman (C), the selfish one Zach Randolph (PF), and Al Thorton (SF). As you can see, the Clippers do have talent, however, this talent will never mesh well together. The Clippers seem to have a some-what "solid" penciled in starter at each position next year, so it looks as if the Clippers can pick from a best player available senario.

Oklahoma Thunder
Looking at the Thunders roster for the future, makes me wish that I was a Thunder fan. They are set at the PG position with Russell Westbrook, and are also set in the SG/SF/PF positions with the combination of Jeff Green and Kevin Durant. These three players are very talented and will lead the Thunder to the playoffs very soon. The Thunder would love to add Oklahoma native Blake Griffin to the roster at PF, however, Hasheem Thabeet at C, James Harden at the SG, or Jordan Hill at the PF would fit in very nicely to this up and coming team.

Minnesota Timberwolves
The frontcourt for the Wolves seems to be their strong point, with Kevin Love at PF and Al Jefferson at the C. Outside of these two, the team has a solid SG/SF in Mike Miller, and a solid PG/SG in Randy Foye. The Wolves have lot of holes that need to be filled before they become a successful team. The Wolves are in a tough spot because this pick could be filled with talented big men, but the Wolves seem set with their PF/C combo. The Wolves could look to their future PG in Ricky Rubio or Branon Jennings. They could also look to add a future SG in DeMar DeRozan or James Harden. The Wolves have some many options because of their lack of talent of thier roster.

Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies are very intruiging much like the Thunder, they have alot of nice young talent. The team is set at PG with Mike Conley (Who came on very strong at the end of the year), SG with OJ Mayo, and SF with Rudy Gay. The team also has some nice young talent with C Marc Gasol and the skinny PF combo of Hakim Warrick and Darrel Arthur. The PF position is the place where the Grizzlies need to upgrade, adding a Blake Griffin or a Jordan Hill would be ideal.

Golden State Warriors
The Warriors are a hard team to evaluate because they have a lot of talent on their roster, but much like the Clippers it does not mesh well together. The team is led by Monta Ellis at the PG/SG, Stephen Jackson at the SF, Anthony Randolph at the PF, and Andris Biendris at the C. Brandan Wright the talented PF out of UNC still has the ability to become a good player. The team also has a pair of talented veterans in Jamal Crawford and Corey Maggette, who might not fit into the future plans. The Warriors have the ability to pick the best player available because there are no guranteed spots on their roster. Monta Ellis is their best player and he might be best suited at the SG, so maybe a Brandon Jennings or Ricky Rubio pick would fit. Warriors also have to be looking for some size and toughness from Grffin or Hill. Do not know is Thabeet would fit into the Warriors style of play.

New York Knicks
The Knicks have a couple of nice young players, and alot of cap space for free agency in 2010. Wilson Chandler has proven himself to be a major part of the Knicks future at the SG/SF/PF. Danilo Gallanari the Italian import from last years draft showed great flashes in his injury plagued season. David Lee and Nate Robinson also had solid seasons, however, both are restricted free agents, and we have to see what managent does with these two players. The Knicks will be looking for guards (PG/SG) or a big man (PF/C). Ricky Rubio, James Harden, Stephen Curry, Brandon Jennings ,and DeMar DeRozan should be targeted in those positions from the guard positions. Blake Griffin, Jordan Hill, and Hasheem Thabeet should be targeted in those positions from PF/C positions. They have to find a player that would fit in with Lebron in 2010. A guard seems like the ideal pick.

Toronto Raptors
The Raptors have some talent behind Chris Bosh (FC), Andrea Bargnani (FC), and Jose Calderon (PG). The Raptors have some holes at the SG/SF positions, especially after Shawn Marion leaves as an unrestricted free agent. James Harden, DeMar DeRozan, and Earl Clark seem like players that can fit right in to the Raptors starting line-up. The Raptors have to pray that Bosh does not bail on the team after the 2010 season.

Milwaukee Bucks
The Bucks pick has a lot to do with the free-agency situations of Ramon Sessions and Charlie Villaneuva. Outisde of these two, Andrew Bogut seems to be the future C, Richard Jefferson the SF of the near-future, and Michael Redd the SG of the near-future as well. The team has to also see how Joe Alexander matures as an NBA player. This pick is hard to judge because of free agency, its seems as if the Bucks can use a tough PF to pair with Bogut. DeJuan Blair might be a little of a reach at their projected spot, however, Blair could complement Bogut's playing style, and Coach Skiles coaching toughness.

New Jersey Nets
The Nets have a great future guard-center pairing of Devin Harris and Brook Lopez. Both players are very talented and are players that you want on your team. The team is still getting good production from the 32 year old SG Vince Carter. Outside of the big three, there is limited talented on the team. This makes Rod Thorn's job a little easier when picking. Earl Clark, Chase Budinger, James Johnson, or Tyreke Evans seem like ideal fits at the SG/SF/PF positions. The good thing about all of these players is that they are versatile and they can fill many roles for the Nets. A SF/PF seems like the right fit.

Charlotte Bobcats
The Bobcats had an improved season, which should give them hope for a brighter future. Emeka Okafor is their future C, Gerald Wallace when healthy is their SF of the future, and the combination of DJ Augustin and Raymond Felton seem to be the future at PG. Outside of these 3/4, the Bobcats have many holes to fill. SG and PF seem to be positions that need to be filled. Wayne Ellington and Gerald Henderson are home state NC college players that could fit the SG positions. We all know about the Felton/May draft. James Johnson and DeJuan Blair could fit the bill at the PF. James Johnson might be to similar of a player to Boris Diaw, however.

Indiana Pacers
The Pacers have a lot of young players that are trying to find their way around their potential super-star teammate Danny Granger. The PG position has the steady combo of TJ Ford and Jarrett Jack, the SG/SF position has Mike Dunleavy and Danny Granger, and the PF/C position has Troy Murphy and Roy Hibbert. Other players that have roles are Brandon Rush and Marquis Daniels. The team seems to need better big man, and at their spot there is not going to be many good PF/C. My personl opinion is that someone is going to bite early on DeJuan Blair because there is not many talented PF in the middle of the draft (Between picks 4 and 20).

Phoenix Suns
Weird seeing the Suns in the lottery, but the mighty are bound to fall. The Suns need to look to replace Shaquille O'Neal and Steve Nash because their Phoenix time is almost up. The Suns have Amare for the future for the time being at the PF position. Jason Richardson is solid at the SG. No pick jumps out at me more for the Suns, then Johnny Flynn for the Suns. He would be the ideal pick to be the future leader of the Suns well-known offense.

-Look out for the NBA Mock Lottery after the picks are set.

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